Risk Snapshot
Ratings represent risk relative to North America. 100 is the highest risk for the hazard and 1 is the lowest, but does not indicate no risk. Flood and fire are rated based on the buildings in Worcester exposed to these hazards. See hazard sections below and check your address for details.
Precipitation risk in Worcester, MA is extreme. Heat and drought risk is high. About 74% of buildings in Worcester, MA are at risk of wildfire, and the risk level for these buildings is relatively low. About 16% of buildings in Worcester, MA are at risk of flooding, and the risk level for these buildings is significant. 
The share of precipitation during the biggest downpours in Worcester is projected to increase.
A downpour for Worcester, MA is a two-day rainfall total over 1.1 inches. Around 1990, about 40.0% of precipitation fell during these downpours. In 2050, this is projected to be about 46.0%. The annual precipitation in Worcester, MA is projected to increase from about 46.9" to about 51.7".
The number of the hottest days in Worcester is projected to keep increasing.
In a typical year around 1990, people in Worcester, MA experienced about 7 days above 88.2ºF in a year. By 2050, people in Worcester are projected to experience an average of about 33 days per year over 88.2ºF.
The average water stress in Worcester is projected to be higher around 2050 than around 2015.
The Blackstone watershed, which contains Worcester, MA, has experienced 402 weeks (34% of weeks) since 2000 with some of its area in drought of any level, and 27 weeks (2% of weeks) since 2000 with some of its area in Extreme or Exceptional drought. Source: National Drought Monitor.
The risk on the most dangerous fire weather days in Worcester is low. The number of these days per year is expected to increase through 2050.
Of 104 census tracts in Worcester, MA, there are 72 where more than a quarter of buildings have significant fire risk, and 60 where more than half of buildings have significant fire risk. Property owners can take steps to mitigate their risks from wildfires.
Buildings at risk in Worcester average about a 38% chance of a flood about 1.2 feet deep over 30 years.
Of 104 census tracts in Worcester, MA, there are 3 where more than half of buildings have significant risk from surface (pluvial) flooding and riverine (fluvial) flooding. Property owners can check a specific address for flood risk including FEMA flood zone, then take steps to reduce their vulnerability to flooding damage.
The projections on this page describe a future that we still have a chance to avoid. To keep average global warming below 1.5ºC—the goal agreed on in the 2015 Paris Climate Accords—we need to act rapidly to drastically reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
The risks presented on this page reflect modeled averages for Worcester, MA under one projected emissions scenario and can vary for individual properties. To find out more, check a specific address and request a report describing risks to your property and in your area.
The latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report states: “If global emissions continue at current rates, the remaining carbon budget for keeping warming to 1.5ºC will likely be exhausted before 2030.” This remaining carbon budget is about the same amount as total global emissions 2010-2019.
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