Risk Snapshot
Ratings represent risk relative to North America. 100 is the highest risk for the hazard and 1 is the lowest, but does not indicate no risk. Flood and fire are rated based on the buildings in Provo exposed to these hazards. See hazard sections below and check your address for details.
Heat risk in Provo, UT is very high. Precipitation and drought risk is high. About 70% of buildings in Provo, UT are at risk of wildfire, and the risk level for these buildings is significant. About 26% of buildings in Provo, UT are at risk of flooding, and the risk level for these buildings is significant. 
The number of the hottest days in Provo is projected to keep increasing.
In a typical year around 1990, people in Provo, UT experienced about 7 days above 95.3ºF in a year. By 2050, people in Provo are projected to experience an average of about 44 days per year over 95.3ºF.
The risk on the most dangerous fire weather days in Provo is high. The number of these days per year is expected to increase through 2050.
Of 87 census tracts in Provo, UT, there are 70 where more than a quarter of buildings have significant fire risk, and 56 where more than half of buildings have significant fire risk. Property owners can take steps to mitigate their risks from wildfires.
The share of precipitation during the biggest downpours in Provo is projected to increase.
A downpour for Provo, UT is a two-day rainfall total over 0.5 inches. Around 1990, about 45.0% of precipitation fell during these downpours. In 2050, this is projected to be about 51.0%. The annual precipitation in Provo, UT is projected to increase from about 18.0" to about 19.8".
The average water stress in Provo is projected to be about the same around 2050 as around 2015.
The Utah Lake watershed, which contains Provo, UT, has experienced 879 weeks (73% of weeks) since 2000 with some of its area in drought of any level, and 231 weeks (19% of weeks) since 2000 with some of its area in Extreme or Exceptional drought. Source: National Drought Monitor.
Buildings at risk in Provo average about a 23% chance of a flood about 10.0 inches deep over 30 years.
Of 87 census tracts in Provo, UT, there are 13 where more than half of buildings have significant risk from surface (pluvial) flooding and riverine (fluvial) flooding. Property owners can check a specific address for flood risk including FEMA flood zone, then take steps to reduce their vulnerability to flooding damage.
The projections on this page describe a future that we still have a chance to avoid. To keep average global warming below 1.5ºC—the goal agreed on in the 2015 Paris Climate Accords—we need to act rapidly to drastically reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
The risks presented on this page reflect modeled averages for Provo, UT under one projected emissions scenario and can vary for individual properties. To find out more, check a specific address and request a report describing risks to your property and in your area.
The latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report states: “If global emissions continue at current rates, the remaining carbon budget for keeping warming to 1.5ºC will likely be exhausted before 2030.” This remaining carbon budget is about the same amount as total global emissions 2010-2019.
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