Risk Snapshot
Ratings represent risk relative to North America. 100 is the highest risk for the hazard and 1 is the lowest, but does not indicate no risk. Flood and fire are rated based on the buildings in Alexandria exposed to these hazards. See hazard sections below and check your address for details.
Heat and precipitation risk in Alexandria, VA is extreme. Drought risk is significant. About 79% of buildings in Alexandria, VA are at risk of wildfire, and the risk level for these buildings is relatively low. About 15% of buildings in Alexandria, VA are at risk of flooding, and the risk level for these buildings is significant. 
The number of the hottest days in Alexandria is projected to keep increasing.
In a typical year around 1990, people in Alexandria, VA experienced about 7 days above 94.4ºF in a year. By 2050, people in Alexandria are projected to experience an average of about 39 days per year over 94.4ºF.
The share of precipitation during the biggest downpours in Alexandria is projected to increase.
A downpour for Alexandria, VA is a two-day rainfall total over 1.0 inches. Around 1990, about 42.0% of precipitation fell during these downpours. In 2050, this is projected to be about 46.0%. The annual precipitation in Alexandria, VA is projected to increase from about 41.5" to about 45.0".
The risk on the most dangerous fire weather days in Alexandria is low. The number of these days per year is expected to increase through 2050.
Of 87 census tracts in Alexandria, VA, there are 74 where more than a quarter of buildings have significant fire risk, and 62 where more than half of buildings have significant fire risk. Property owners can take steps to mitigate their risks from wildfires.
The average water stress in Alexandria is projected to be about the same around 2050 as around 2015.
The Middle Potomac-Anacostia-Occoquan watershed, which contains Alexandria, VA, has experienced 400 weeks (33% of weeks) since 2000 with some of its area in drought of any level, and 21 weeks (2% of weeks) since 2000 with some of its area in Extreme or Exceptional drought. Source: National Drought Monitor.
Buildings at risk in Alexandria average about a 34% chance of a flood about 1.0 feet deep over 30 years.
Of 87 census tracts in Alexandria, VA, there are 6 where more than half of buildings have significant risk from storm surge, high tide flooding, surface (pluvial) flooding, and riverine (fluvial) flooding. Property owners can check a specific address for flood risk including FEMA flood zone, then take steps to reduce their vulnerability to flooding damage.
The projections on this page describe a future that we still have a chance to avoid. To keep average global warming below 1.5ºC—the goal agreed on in the 2015 Paris Climate Accords—we need to act rapidly to drastically reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
The risks presented on this page reflect modeled averages for Alexandria, VA under one projected emissions scenario and can vary for individual properties. To find out more, check a specific address and request a report describing risks to your property and in your area.
The latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report states: “If global emissions continue at current rates, the remaining carbon budget for keeping warming to 1.5ºC will likely be exhausted before 2030.” This remaining carbon budget is about the same amount as total global emissions 2010-2019.
Check our free report for tips on protecting your home from hazards.















