People in Surprise, AZ are especially likely to experience increased risks from drought, flood, and heat.

Drought and heat risk in Surprise, AZ is extreme. Precipitation risk is relatively low. About 99% of buildings in Surprise, AZ are at risk of flooding, and the risk level for these buildings is very high. About 81% of buildings in Surprise, AZ are at risk of wildfire, and the risk level for these buildings is high.

Fire and flood risk can vary significantly for individual properties within a city. Check your address for detailed heat, precipitation, fire, flood, and drought risk through 2050.

The Aqua Fria watershed, which contains Surprise, AZ, has experienced 1021 weeks (85% of weeks) since 2000 with some of its area in drought of any level, and 285 weeks (24% of weeks) since 2000 with some of its area in Extreme or Exceptional drought. Source: National Drought Monitor.

Climate change is increasing the risk of drought. Water stress (the ratio of water demand to supply) depends on how water utilities source water and their plans to adapt to climate change. Property owners can also take steps to reduce their risks from drought.

Of 84 census tracts in Surprise, AZ, there are 83 where more than half of buildings have significant risk from surface (pluvial) flooding and riverine (fluvial) flooding. Property owners can check a specific address for flood risk including FEMA flood zone, then take steps to reduce their vulnerability to flooding damage.

Climate change is increasing inland and coastal flooding risk due to sea level rise and increasing chances of extreme precipitation. See more information on flooding risk.

In a typical year around 1990, people in Surprise, AZ experienced about 7 days above 110.4ºF in a year. By 2050, people in Surprise are projected to experience an average of about 45 days per year over 110.4ºF.

Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of heat waves, even in places with cooler average temperatures. See more information on heat risk. Everyone can take steps to reduce their risks from extreme heat.

Of 84 census tracts in Surprise, AZ, there are 67 where more than a quarter of buildings have significant fire risk, and 66 where more than half of buildings have significant fire risk. Property owners can take steps to mitigate their risks from wildfires.

Fire risk depends on proximity to vegation: densely developed urban areas have a much lower risk of burning than areas adjacent to wildland. Climate change increases risks from wildfire by creating hotter, drier conditions for fires to spread. ClimateCheck ratings of fire risk are based on projected weather conditions and U.S. Forest Service models simulating fire behavior.

A downpour for Surprise, AZ is a two-day rainfall total over 0.3 inches. Around 1990, about 63.0% of precipitation fell during these downpours. In 2050, this is projected to be about 67.0%. The annual precipitation in Surprise, AZ is projected to remain about 8.5".

Extreme precipitation in any form can pose significant risks. Climate change is increasing the potential for extreme rainfall or snowfall because warmer air can hold more water vapor. See more information on storm risk. Property owners can take steps to reduce their risks from extreme precipitation.